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Rheinmetall AG GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, October 5th, 2026

1 Day

35.33%

decreased by 0.58%

1 Week

35.48%

decreased by 0.43%

1 Month

36.00%

increased by 0.09%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, October 21, 2026 at 01:09 AM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/02/2024

to

10/02/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Rheinmetall AG GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 2, 2019 to Oct 2, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 39 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 39 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 4.11 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 39-day half-lifev = 4.11 · fat tails
ParamValuet-stat
ωlong-run6.2882
0.98
αscore0.0594
4.63***
βpersistence0.9824
51.61***
νDF4.1080
1.70*

0.982

Persistence

39d

Half-life
𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

long-run

Long-run variance given a price move

6.2882
0.98
α

score

Weight on the scaled score

0.0594
4.63***
β

persistence

Volatility persistence

0.9824
51.61***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

4.1080
1.70*

Persistence:

0.982

Half-life:

39 days