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V-Lab

Nodestream Ltd GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, September 15th, 2026

1 Day

126.72%

decreased by 12.44%

1 Week

128.07%

decreased by 11.09%

1 Month

131.03%

decreased by 8.13%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, September 16, 2026 at 02:55 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Nodestream Ltd GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

May 12, 2016 to Sep 14, 2026
Illiquid Asset

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 7 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 7 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 2.86 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 7-day half-lifev = 2.86 · fat tails
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst71.5262
1.24
αARCH0.0801
2.09**
βGARCH0.9037
10.69***
νDF2.8592
1.66*

0.904

Persistence

7d

Half-life
𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

71.5262
1.24
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0801
2.09**
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9037
10.69***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

2.8592
1.66*

Persistence:

0.904

Half-life:

7 days