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Nodestream Ltd Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, October 7th, 2026

1 Day

158.40%

increased by 11.47%

1 Week

148.85%

increased by 1.92%

1 Month

139.97%

decreased by 6.96%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, October 7, 2026 at 06:06 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/06/2024

to

10/06/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Nodestream Ltd S0GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

May 12, 2016 to Oct 2, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 2 trading days.

τ

Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Time-varying baseline: volatility reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.8780
7.13***
αARCH0.1154
3.99***
βGARCH0.5802
5.60***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=6
γ1-0.0952
-0.34
γ2-0.2537
-0.60
γ30.8635
3.32***
γ4-0.7018
-2.95***
γ50.1893
0.72
γ6-0.0323
-0.15

0.696

Persistence

2d

Half-life
τ

Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.8780
7.13***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1154
3.99***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.5802
5.60***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=6
γ1-0.0952
-0.34
γ2-0.2537
-0.60
γ30.8635
3.32***
γ4-0.7018
-2.95***
γ50.1893
0.72
γ6-0.0323
-0.15

Persistence:

0.696

Half-life:

2 days