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V-Lab
V-Lab

Nodestream Ltd Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, September 15th, 2026

1 Day

124.26%

decreased by 3.42%

1 Week

132.87%

increased by 5.19%

1 Month

136.51%

increased by 8.83%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, September 16, 2026 at 02:55 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Nodestream Ltd S0GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

May 12, 2016 to Sep 14, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 1 trading day.

τ

Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Time-varying baseline: volatility reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.7723
5.52***
αARCH0.1389
4.02***
βGARCH0.3311
2.55**
γi Spline Coefficients
K=8
γ1-0.8737
-1.65*
γ21.1814
1.59
γ3-0.9612
-2.11**
γ41.6045
3.52***
γ5-1.2169
-2.52**
γ60.0344
0.07
γ70.4346
0.87
γ8-0.3129
-0.76

0.470

Persistence

1d

Half-life
τ

Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.7723
5.52***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1389
4.02***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.3311
2.55**
γi Spline Coefficients
K=8
γ1-0.8737
-1.65*
γ21.1814
1.59
γ3-0.9612
-2.11**
γ41.6045
3.52***
γ5-1.2169
-2.52**
γ60.0344
0.07
γ70.4346
0.87
γ8-0.3129
-0.76

Persistence:

0.470

Half-life:

1 days