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V-Lab

Nodestream Ltd Asy. Power MEM Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 5th, 2026

1 Day

160.22%

decreased by 1.19%

1 Week

160.13%

decreased by 1.28%

1 Month

159.77%

decreased by 1.64%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 5, 2026 at 05:52 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Nodestream Ltd APMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

May 12, 2016 to Jul 31, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.996, volatility shocks have a half-life of 167 trading days (~0.7 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate. The volatility power δ = 2.44 sits above 2, so large shocks influence volatility more than quadratically, dominating the response more than in standard GARCH.

μ

APMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.9715
4.83***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0547
13.08***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9303
193.77***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0226
0.98
δ

power

Transformation power

2.4391
28.64***

Persistence:

0.996

Half-life:

167 days