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V-Lab
V-Lab

Nodestream Ltd Asy. Power MEM Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, September 11th, 2026

1 Day

191.11%

decreased by 0.93%

1 Week

190.92%

decreased by 1.12%

1 Month

190.15%

decreased by 1.89%

Analysis last updated: Friday, September 11, 2026 at 05:55 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Nodestream Ltd APMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

May 12, 2016 to Sep 9, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.996, volatility shocks have a half-life of 194 trading days (~0.8 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate. The volatility power δ = 2.39 sits above 2, so large shocks influence volatility more than quadratically, dominating the response more than in standard GARCH.

μ

APMEM Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 0.996, shock half-life ~194 daysδ = 2.39 · super-quadratic power
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.9023
1.24
αARCH0.0569
3.39***
βGARCH0.9296
48.23***
γleverage0.0224
0.25
δpower2.3947
7.33***

0.996

Persistence

194d

Half-life
μ

APMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.9023
1.24
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0569
3.39***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9296
48.23***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0224
0.25
δ

power

Transformation power

2.3947
7.33***

Persistence:

0.996

Half-life:

194 days