V-Lab
Shenzhen Zhaowei Machinery & Electronic Co Ltd Asy. Power MEM Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 5th, 2026
1 Day
104.83%
decreased by 6.21%
1 Week
107.79%
decreased by 3.25%
1 Month
111.07%
increased by 0.03%
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 5, 2026 at 06:50 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Mar 9, 2026 to Jul 31, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a modest leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 19% more than equivalent positive returns. The volatility power δ = 0.72 sits below 2, so large shocks influence volatility less than quadratically, a more outlier-robust response than standard GARCH.
μ
APMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.0000 | 0.36 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2231 | 8.81*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.5774 | 9.42*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1232 | 2.69*** |
δ power Transformation power | 0.7186 | 0.62 |
Persistence:
0.755
Half-life:
2 days
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