V-Lab
Sivers Semiconductors Ab Asy. Power MEM Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 10th, 2026
1 Day
180.44%
1 Week
166.77%
1 Month
129.81%
Analysis last updated: Sunday, August 9, 2026 at 01:10 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Mar 18, 2014 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: positive returns raise next-day volatility 21% more than negative returns. Volatility rises more after gains than after losses, the reverse of the usual leverage effect and uncommon among risky assets. The volatility power δ = 1.06 sits below 2, so large shocks influence volatility less than quadratically, a more outlier-robust response than standard GARCH.
APMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.1687 | 9.85*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2273 | 38.28*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7619 | 123.62*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0901 | -7.27*** |
δ power Transformation power | 1.0579 | 15.00*** |
Persistence:
0.944
Half-life:
12 days
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