V-Lab
Sivers Semiconductors Ab GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, August 25th, 2026
1 Day
129.42%
increased by 19.64%
1 Week
126.74%
increased by 16.96%
1 Month
117.54%
increased by 7.76%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 08:16 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Mar 17, 2014 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 22 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 22 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 3.37 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.
𝑓
GAS-GARCH-T Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 21.1857 | 3.94*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1048 | 23.81*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9690 | 118.98*** |
ν DF Student-t tail thickness | 3.3735 | 13.23*** |
Persistence:
0.969
Half-life:
22 days
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