V-Lab
Sivers Semiconductors Ab GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 5th, 2026
1 Day
171.61%
increased by 26.96%
1 Week
167.34%
increased by 22.69%
1 Month
152.54%
increased by 7.89%
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 5, 2026 at 08:14 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Mar 17, 2014 to Jul 31, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 22 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 22 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 3.36 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.
𝑓
GAS-GARCH-T Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 21.3408 | 3.92*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1052 | 23.69*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9690 | 119.00*** |
ν DF Student-t tail thickness | 3.3632 | 13.32*** |
Persistence:
0.969
Half-life:
22 days
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