Sivers Semiconductors Ab GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026
1 Day
219.82%
increased by 1.72%
1 Week
213.73%
decreased by 4.37%
1 Month
192.55%
decreased by 25.55%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 08:12 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Mar 17, 2014 to Jul 10, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 21 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 21 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 3.35 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.
𝑓
GAS-GARCH-T Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 21.4188 | 3.92*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1064 | 23.37*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9682 | 116.57*** |
ν DF Student-t tail thickness | 3.3498 | 13.30*** |
Persistence:
0.968
Half-life:
21 days
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