Sivers Semiconductors Ab AGARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026
1 Day
158.57%
decreased by 10.58%
1 Week
154.86%
decreased by 14.29%
1 Month
142.12%
decreased by 27.03%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 08:12 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Mar 17, 2014 to Jul 10, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 21 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 21 days.
σ
AGARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.8088 | 8.69*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0965 | 13.65*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8714 | 122.82*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.2921 | -0.90 |
Persistence:
0.968
Half-life:
21 days
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