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V-Lab

Sivers Semiconductors Ab APARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026

1 Day

179.82%

decreased by 1.95%

1 Week

177.07%

decreased by 4.70%

1 Month

167.62%

decreased by 14.15%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 08:12 PM UTC

Date Range:

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to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

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graph of Sivers Semiconductors Ab APARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Mar 17, 2014 to Jul 10, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 32 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 32 days. The volatility power δ = 0.96 sits below 2, so large shocks influence volatility less than quadratically, a more outlier-robust response than standard GARCH.

σ

APARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.1454
8.77***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1061
15.76***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8939
143.02***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.1219
-1.91*
δ

power

Transformation power

0.9620
9.62***

Persistence:

0.978

Half-life:

32 days