V-Lab
Guangdong Dtech Tchno Co Ltd APARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 19th, 2026
1 Day
62.51%
decreased by 3.90%
1 Week
64.67%
decreased by 1.74%
1 Month
69.15%
increased by 2.74%
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 19, 2026 at 06:21 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Nov 22, 2022 to Aug 14, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 6 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 6 days. The volatility power δ = 1.26 sits below 2, so large shocks influence volatility less than quadratically, a more outlier-robust response than standard GARCH.
σ
APARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.7314 | 4.61*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1912 | 15.90*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7363 | 39.36*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0755 | -1.95* |
δ power Transformation power | 1.2558 | 7.91*** |
Persistence:
0.893
Half-life:
6 days
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