Inpex Corp APARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, October 14th, 2026
1 Day
31.74%
1 Week
32.23%
1 Month
33.87%
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, October 14, 2026 at 08:35 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Nov 17, 2004 to Oct 9, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 28 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 28 days. The volatility power δ = 1.33 sits below 2, so large shocks influence volatility less than quadratically, a more outlier-robust response than standard GARCH.
APARCH Model
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| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.0881 | 3.38*** |
| αARCH | 0.0947 | 5.19*** |
| βGARCH | 0.8962 | 45.87*** |
| γleverage | 0.1672 | 1.77* |
| δpower | 1.3276 | 6.59*** |
0.975
Persistence28d
Half-lifeAPARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0881 | 3.38*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0947 | 5.19*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8962 | 45.87*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1672 | 1.77* |
δ power Transformation power | 1.3276 | 6.59*** |
Persistence:
0.975
Half-life:
28 days
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