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V-Lab

Inpex Corp APARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, October 14th, 2026

1 Day

31.74%

increased by 0.76%

1 Week

32.23%

increased by 1.25%

1 Month

33.87%

increased by 2.89%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, October 14, 2026 at 08:35 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/13/2024

to

10/13/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Inpex Corp APARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Nov 17, 2004 to Oct 9, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 28 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 28 days. The volatility power δ = 1.33 sits below 2, so large shocks influence volatility less than quadratically, a more outlier-robust response than standard GARCH.

σ

APARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 28-day half-lifeδ = 1.33 · sub-quadratic power
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0881
3.38***
αARCH0.0947
5.19***
βGARCH0.8962
45.87***
γleverage0.1672
1.77*
δpower1.3276
6.59***

0.975

Persistence

28d

Half-life
σ

APARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0881
3.38***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0947
5.19***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8962
45.87***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1672
1.77*
δ

power

Transformation power

1.3276
6.59***

Persistence:

0.975

Half-life:

28 days