V-Lab
Inpex Corp MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Thursday, September 24th, 2026
1 Day
35.58%
decreased by 2.96%
1 Week
35.81%
decreased by 2.73%
1 Month
36.55%
decreased by 1.99%
Analysis last updated: Sunday, September 20, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Nov 17, 2004 to Sep 18, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a notable leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 99% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
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Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 99% more than positive returns
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| mwindow | 26 | |
| αARCH | 0.0865 | 3.44*** |
| βGARCH | 0.6774 | 12.32*** |
| γleverage | 0.0854 | 2.01** |
| λ₁tau intercept | 0.0867 | 1.81* |
| λ₂forecast adj. | 0.0634 | 3.11*** |
| λ₃tau persistence | 0.9221 | 33.61*** |
0.807
Persistence3d
Half-lifeσ
MF2-GARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 26 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0865 | 3.44*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.6774 | 12.32*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0854 | 2.01** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0867 | 1.81* |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0634 | 3.11*** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9221 | 33.61*** |
Persistence:
0.807
Half-life:
3 days
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