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V-Lab

Inpex Corp MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026

1 Day

33.63%

increased by 0.44%

1 Week

35.21%

increased by 2.02%

1 Month

36.95%

increased by 3.76%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 22, 2026 at 11:09 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Inpex Corp MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Nov 17, 2004 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 101% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

26
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0858
13.95***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6791
32.26***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0863
8.37***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0864
1.94*
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0632
2.39**
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9224
27.24***

Persistence:

0.808

Half-life:

3 days