V-Lab
Inpex Corp MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026
1 Day
35.52%
decreased by 1.27%
1 Week
36.51%
decreased by 0.28%
1 Month
38.42%
increased by 1.63%
Analysis last updated: Sunday, July 26, 2026 at 03:01 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Nov 17, 2004 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a notable leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 100% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 26 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0865 | 14.02*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.6779 | 32.26*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0865 | 8.35*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0860 | 1.94* |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0633 | 2.40** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9225 | 27.33*** |
Persistence:
0.808
Half-life:
3 days
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