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V-Lab

Inpex Corp MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, October 16th, 2026

1 Day

35.34%

increased by 5.09%

1 Week

35.16%

increased by 4.91%

1 Month

35.15%

increased by 4.90%

Analysis last updated: Friday, October 16, 2026 at 07:49 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/15/2024

to

10/15/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Inpex Corp MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Nov 17, 2004 to Oct 9, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a notable leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 98% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 98% more than positive returns
ParamValuet-stat
mwindow26
αARCH0.0867
3.44***
βGARCH0.6769
12.28***
γleverage0.0846
2.00**
λ₁tau intercept0.0871
1.81*
λ₂forecast adj.0.0636
3.10***
λ₃tau persistence0.9218
33.37***

0.806

Persistence

3d

Half-life
σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

26
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0867
3.44***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6769
12.28***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0846
2.00**
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0871
1.81*
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0636
3.10***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9218
33.37***

Persistence:

0.806

Half-life:

3 days