Skip to main content
V-Lab

Yw Co Ltd MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 26th, 2026

1 Day

28.04%

decreased by 1.21%

1 Week

30.50%

increased by 1.25%

1 Month

34.41%

increased by 5.16%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 26, 2026 at 09:23 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Yw Co Ltd MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Apr 11, 2003 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 5 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 5 days.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

21
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1646
18.75***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6929
40.35***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0080
0.76
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0199
3.10***
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0340
4.88***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9641
128.52***

Persistence:

0.861

Half-life:

5 days