V-Lab
Yw Co Ltd MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Friday, August 14th, 2026
1 Day
28.63%
decreased by 0.88%
1 Week
31.38%
increased by 1.87%
1 Month
35.64%
increased by 6.13%
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 14, 2026 at 07:59 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Apr 11, 2003 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 5 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 5 days.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 21 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1651 | 18.70*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.6903 | 39.61*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0083 | 0.79 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0204 | 3.06*** |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0347 | 4.80*** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9633 | 123.74*** |
Persistence:
0.860
Half-life:
5 days
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