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V-Lab

Yw Co Ltd MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026

1 Day

47.11%

decreased by 5.85%

1 Week

46.92%

decreased by 6.04%

1 Month

47.75%

decreased by 5.21%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 07:43 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Yw Co Ltd MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Apr 11, 2003 to Jul 10, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 5 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 5 days.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

21
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1643
18.36***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6905
38.59***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0087
0.82
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0214
3.01***
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0363
4.62***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9618
114.13***

Persistence:

0.859

Half-life:

5 days