V-Lab
Yw Co Ltd MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 26th, 2026
1 Day
28.04%
decreased by 1.21%
1 Week
30.50%
increased by 1.25%
1 Month
34.41%
increased by 5.16%
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 26, 2026 at 09:23 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Apr 11, 2003 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 5 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 5 days.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 21 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1646 | 18.75*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.6929 | 40.35*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0080 | 0.76 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0199 | 3.10*** |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0340 | 4.88*** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9641 | 128.52*** |
Persistence:
0.861
Half-life:
5 days
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