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V-Lab

Yw Co Ltd MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, August 14th, 2026

1 Day

28.63%

decreased by 0.88%

1 Week

31.38%

increased by 1.87%

1 Month

35.64%

increased by 6.13%

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 14, 2026 at 07:59 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Yw Co Ltd MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Apr 11, 2003 to Aug 7, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 5 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 5 days.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

21
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1651
18.70***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6903
39.61***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0083
0.79
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0204
3.06***
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0347
4.80***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9633
123.74***

Persistence:

0.860

Half-life:

5 days