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Ventia Services Group Pty Ltd MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful

Volatility prediction for Friday, August 14th, 2026

1 Day

22.05%

increased by 0.13%

1 Week

1,311,717,991,033,133,500,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000.00%

increased by 1,311,717,991,033,133,500,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000.00%

1 Month

925,226,653,312,581,600,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000.00%

increased by 925,226,653,312,581,600,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000.00%

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 14, 2026 at 08:07 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Ventia Services Group Pty Ltd MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Nov 23, 2021 to Aug 7, 2026

Model Insight

Estimated persistence of 1.000 is at or above 1 (non-stationary): volatility shocks do not decay and the long-run variance is undefined, so long-horizon forecasts should be treated with caution.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

46
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.7640
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.0000
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.4721
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

3.5835
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0000
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.3142

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

-