V-Lab
Ventia Services Group Pty Ltd GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 10th, 2026
1 Day
27.26%
decreased by 1.93%
1 Week
30.57%
increased by 1.38%
1 Month
31.67%
increased by 2.48%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 8, 2026 at 11:40 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Nov 23, 2021 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 1 trading day, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 1 day.
σ
GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 2.5223 | 18.22*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2536 | 5.82*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.1260 | 3.17*** |
Persistence:
0.380
Half-life:
1 days
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