V-Lab
SMG Swiss Marketplace Group AG GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 10th, 2026
1 Day
53.51%
increased by 0.28%
1 Week
53.55%
increased by 0.32%
1 Month
53.57%
increased by 0.34%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 8, 2026 at 06:09 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Oct 23, 2025 to Aug 7, 2026Boundary Parameters
Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 1 trading day, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 1 day.
σ
GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 5.0000 | 1.07 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0124 | 0.89 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.5486 | 1.36 |
Persistence:
0.561
Half-life:
1 days
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