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V-Lab

SMG Swiss Marketplace Group AG MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026

1 Day

14.51%

unchanged at 0.00%

1 Week

21,466,422,636,294.10%

increased by 21,466,422,636,279.59%

1 Month

1,255,240,056,722,219,400,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000.00%

increased by 1,255,240,056,722,219,400,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000.00%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 05:55 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of SMG Swiss Marketplace Group AG MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Oct 23, 2025 to Jul 10, 2026

Model Insight

This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to positive returns, rising far more after gains than after losses. This is the reverse of the usual leverage effect, rare among risky assets.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

26
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.5000
30.66***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.0000
0.11
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.5000
-30.66***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0000
0.00
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.1520
3.92***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.0000
0.00

Persistence:

0.250

Half-life:

1 days