V-Lab
SMG Swiss Marketplace Group AG MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026
1 Day
48.63%
decreased by 0.26%
1 Week
49.40%
increased by 0.51%
1 Month
49.44%
increased by 0.55%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, July 25, 2026 at 10:12 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Oct 23, 2025 to Jul 24, 2026Boundary Parameters
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 61 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.0913 | 0.00 |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 2.0342 | 0.00 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 1.0000 | 0.00 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
Persistence:
0.091
Half-life:
0 days
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