V-Lab
SMG Swiss Marketplace Group AG GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026
1 Day
54.94%
decreased by 4.11%
1 Week
53.96%
decreased by 5.09%
1 Month
53.41%
decreased by 5.64%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, July 25, 2026 at 10:11 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Oct 23, 2025 to Jul 24, 2026Boundary Parameters
Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 1 trading day, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 1 day.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 5.0000 | 1.57 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.4998 | 1.95* |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1110 | 1.50 |
Persistence:
0.555
Half-life:
1 days
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