V-Lab
SMG Swiss Marketplace Group AG GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, August 11th, 2026
1 Day
50.52%
decreased by 0.01%
1 Week
52.18%
increased by 1.65%
1 Month
53.08%
increased by 2.55%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 11, 2026 at 06:11 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Oct 23, 2025 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 1 trading day, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 1 day.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 5.0000 | 1.59 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.5015 | 1.98** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1127 | 1.54 |
Persistence:
0.558
Half-life:
1 days
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