V-Lab
SRT Marine Systems PLC GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 26th, 2026
1 Day
43.52%
decreased by 0.95%
1 Week
47.03%
increased by 2.56%
1 Month
53.44%
increased by 8.97%
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 26, 2026 at 09:58 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 2, 2007 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 156% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.5631 | 12.93*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0735 | 9.16*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7553 | 55.26*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1146 | 5.06*** |
Persistence:
0.886
Half-life:
6 days
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