Beiersdorf AG GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Thursday, July 16th, 2026
1 Day
23.09%
decreased by 0.43%
1 Week
23.20%
decreased by 0.32%
1 Month
23.59%
increased by 0.07%
Analysis last updated: Thursday, July 16, 2026 at 06:46 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 1, 1990 to Jul 10, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a notable leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 77% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0368 | 17.50*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0393 | 18.18*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9330 | 459.14*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0304 | 6.39*** |
Persistence:
0.987
Half-life:
55 days
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