Beiersdorf AG MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026
1 Day
25.76%
decreased by 0.42%
1 Week
26.82%
increased by 0.64%
1 Month
27.86%
increased by 1.68%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 06:37 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 1, 1990 to Jul 10, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 131% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 66 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0806 | 18.42*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.6564 | 54.27*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1057 | 12.67*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0221 | 1.49 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0459 | 1.91* |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9457 | 31.93*** |
Persistence:
0.790
Half-life:
3 days
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