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V-Lab

Beiersdorf AG MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026

1 Day

25.76%

decreased by 0.42%

1 Week

26.82%

increased by 0.64%

1 Month

27.86%

increased by 1.68%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 06:37 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

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graph of Beiersdorf AG MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 1, 1990 to Jul 10, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 131% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

66
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0806
18.42***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6564
54.27***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1057
12.67***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0221
1.49
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0459
1.91*
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9457
31.93***

Persistence:

0.790

Half-life:

3 days