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V-Lab

Beiersdorf AG MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 5th, 2026

1 Day

26.24%

decreased by 0.32%

1 Week

26.57%

increased by 0.01%

1 Month

26.89%

increased by 0.33%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 5, 2026 at 06:40 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Beiersdorf AG MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 1, 1990 to Jul 31, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 132% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

66
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0803
18.39***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6566
54.04***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1058
12.72***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0226
1.49
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0465
1.89*
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9448
31.12***

Persistence:

0.790

Half-life:

3 days