V-Lab
Beiersdorf AG MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 5th, 2026
1 Day
26.24%
decreased by 0.32%
1 Week
26.57%
increased by 0.01%
1 Month
26.89%
increased by 0.33%
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 5, 2026 at 06:40 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 1, 1990 to Jul 31, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 132% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 66 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0803 | 18.39*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.6566 | 54.04*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1058 | 12.72*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0226 | 1.49 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0465 | 1.89* |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9448 | 31.12*** |
Persistence:
0.790
Half-life:
3 days
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