Skip to main content
V-Lab
V-Lab

XtalPi Holdings Ltd MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, October 7th, 2026

1 Day

71.93%

increased by 29.81%

1 Week

9,105,150.54%

increased by 9,105,108.42%

1 Month

28,391,340,229,020,540,000,000,000,000.00%

increased by 28,391,340,229,020,540,000,000,000,000.00%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, October 7, 2026 at 06:44 PM UTC

Press Delete or Backspace to remove this series.
Date Range:

from

10/06/2024

to

10/06/2026

6M ·

All

graph of XtalPi Holdings Ltd MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 9, 2026 to Oct 2, 2026

Model Insight

This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to positive returns, rising far more after gains than after losses. This is the reverse of the usual leverage effect, rare among risky assets.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Inverse leverage: volatility responds almost entirely to positive returns
ParamValuet-stat
mwindow26
αARCH0.3292
67.12***
βGARCH0.3610
89.04***
γleverage-0.3292
-67.18***
λ₁tau intercept0.0000
0.00
λ₂forecast adj.0.6802
80.04***
λ₃tau persistence0.0000
0.18

0.526

Persistence

1d

Half-life
σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

26
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.3292
67.12***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.3610
89.04***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.3292
-67.18***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0000
0.00
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.6802
80.04***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.0000
0.18

Persistence:

0.526

Half-life:

1 days