V-Lab
XtalPi Holdings Ltd MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Friday, August 14th, 2026
1 Day
6.81%
decreased by 19.15%
1 Week
6.24%
decreased by 19.72%
1 Month
5.91%
decreased by 20.05%
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 14, 2026 at 06:42 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 9, 2026 to Aug 7, 2026σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 66 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1144 | |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.0201 | |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0394 | |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0400 | |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0117 | |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.2148 |
Persistence:
0.115
Half-life:
0 days
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