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V-Lab

XtalPi Holdings Ltd MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 26th, 2026

1 Day

81.18%

increased by 6.73%

1 Week

79.08%

increased by 4.63%

1 Month

78.62%

increased by 4.17%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 26, 2026 at 08:08 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of XtalPi Holdings Ltd MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 9, 2026 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to positive returns, rising far more after gains than after losses. This is the reverse of the usual leverage effect, rare among risky assets.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

41
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1998
3.48***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.0000
0.00
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.1998
-3.49***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

5.2153
1.04
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0000
0.00
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.7866
3.76***

Persistence:

0.100

Half-life:

0 days