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V-Lab

XtalPi Holdings Ltd MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, August 14th, 2026

1 Day

6.81%

decreased by 19.15%

1 Week

6.24%

decreased by 19.72%

1 Month

5.91%

decreased by 20.05%

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 14, 2026 at 06:42 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of XtalPi Holdings Ltd MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 9, 2026 to Aug 7, 2026
σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

66
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1144
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.0201
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0394
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0400
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0117
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.2148

Persistence:

0.115

Half-life:

0 days