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V-Lab
V-Lab

XtalPi Holdings Ltd MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, September 14th, 2026

1 Day

58.43%

increased by 18.30%

1 Week

47.71%

increased by 7.58%

1 Month

44.29%

increased by 4.16%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, September 16, 2026 at 05:35 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of XtalPi Holdings Ltd MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 9, 2026 to Sep 11, 2026
Boundary Parameters

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Leverage: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks
ParamValuet-stat
mwindow46
αARCH0.0000
0.00
βGARCH0.0000
0.00
γleverage0.5000
173.85***
λ₁tau intercept6.9319
21.06***
λ₂forecast adj.0.0000
0.00
λ₃tau persistence0.0626
5.48***

0.250

Persistence

1d

Half-life
σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

46
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0000
0.00
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.0000
0.00
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.5000
173.85***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

6.9319
21.06***
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0000
0.00
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.0626
5.48***

Persistence:

0.250

Half-life:

1 days