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V-Lab

XtalPi Holdings Ltd MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 5th, 2026

1 Day

58.25%

increased by 2.29%

1 Week

163.51%

increased by 107.55%

1 Month

8,461.41%

increased by 8,405.45%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 5, 2026 at 06:42 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of XtalPi Holdings Ltd MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 9, 2026 to Jul 31, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

56
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0361
24.43***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.0000
0.01
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.5000
60.71***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0000
0.00
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.6651
18.06***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.0971
18.08***

Persistence:

0.286

Half-life:

1 days