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V-Lab

CH Biotech R&D Co Ltd MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026

1 Day

26.79%

decreased by 1.55%

1 Week

30.13%

increased by 1.79%

1 Month

33.29%

increased by 4.95%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 08:21 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of CH Biotech R&D Co Ltd MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jul 2, 2015 to Jul 3, 2026

Model Insight

This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to positive returns, rising far more after gains than after losses. This is the reverse of the usual leverage effect, rare among risky assets.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

46
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.3266
17.83***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.5108
21.10***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.2718
-14.72***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

2.0369
0.75
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.6103
0.76
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.0904
0.07

Persistence:

0.702

Half-life:

2 days