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V-Lab

CH Biotech R&D Co Ltd MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 26th, 2026

1 Day

22.54%

decreased by 0.44%

1 Week

26.16%

increased by 3.18%

1 Month

30.49%

increased by 7.51%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 26, 2026 at 09:50 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

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graph of CH Biotech R&D Co Ltd MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jul 2, 2015 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to positive returns, rising far more after gains than after losses. This is the reverse of the usual leverage effect, rare among risky assets.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

46
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.3205
17.67***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.5181
21.52***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.2680
-14.70***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

1.9978
0.78
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.6343
0.79
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.0681
0.06

Persistence:

0.705

Half-life:

2 days