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V-Lab
V-Lab

Kaleon SpA MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, October 7th, 2026

1 Day

13.99%

increased by 0.22%

1 Week

14.24%

increased by 0.47%

1 Month

13.80%

increased by 0.03%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, October 7, 2026 at 06:36 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/06/2024

to

10/06/2026

6M ·

All

graph of Kaleon SpA MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 1, 2025 to Oct 2, 2026
σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParamValuet-stat
mwindow26
αARCH0.0000
0.03
βGARCH0.0000
0.00
γleverage0.0000
-0.01
λ₁tau intercept0.0000
0.00
λ₂forecast adj.0.0499
39.29***
λ₃tau persistence0.8588
365.15***

0.000

Persistence

0d

Half-life
σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

26
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0000
0.03
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.0000
0.00
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0000
-0.01
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0000
0.00
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0499
39.29***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.8588
365.15***

Persistence:

0.000

Half-life:

0 days