Kaleon SpA MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful
Volatility prediction for Friday, June 26th, 2026
1 Day
0.04%
decreased by 6.84%
1 Week
0.03%
decreased by 6.85%
1 Month
0.02%
decreased by 6.86%
Analysis last updated: Friday, June 26, 2026 at 07:36 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 26 | ||
| 0.7500 | 7,499,900.00 | |
| 0.0000 | 100.00 | |
| 0.5000 | 5,000,000.00 | |
| 0.0000 | 10.00 | |
| 0.0000 | 100.00 | |
| 0.0000 | 100.00 |
Estimation Period:
Dec 1, 2025 to Jun 19, 2026
Dec 1, 2025 to Jun 19, 2026
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