V-Lab
Kaleon SpA MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, October 7th, 2026
1 Day
13.99%
increased by 0.22%
1 Week
14.24%
increased by 0.47%
1 Month
13.80%
increased by 0.03%
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, October 7, 2026 at 06:36 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 1, 2025 to Oct 2, 2026σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| mwindow | 26 | |
| αARCH | 0.0000 | 0.03 |
| βGARCH | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
| γleverage | 0.0000 | -0.01 |
| λ₁tau intercept | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
| λ₂forecast adj. | 0.0499 | 39.29*** |
| λ₃tau persistence | 0.8588 | 365.15*** |
0.000
Persistence0d
Half-lifeσ
MF2-GARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 26 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0000 | 0.03 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0000 | -0.01 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0499 | 39.29*** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.8588 | 365.15*** |
Persistence:
0.000
Half-life:
0 days
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