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V-Lab

APT Satellite Holdings Ltd MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026

1 Day

45.30%

decreased by 2.17%

1 Week

47.81%

increased by 0.34%

1 Month

52.99%

increased by 5.52%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 22, 2026 at 08:51 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of APT Satellite Holdings Ltd MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 18, 1996 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: positive returns raise next-day volatility 99% more than negative returns. Volatility rises more after gains than after losses, the reverse of the usual leverage effect and uncommon among risky assets.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

126
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2279
23.66***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7274
75.92***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.1133
-11.96***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0832
2.15**
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.1003
4.30***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.8932
32.71***

Persistence:

0.899

Half-life:

6 days