Skip to main content
V-Lab
V-Lab

APT Satellite Holdings Ltd MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, October 23rd, 2026

1 Day

35.18%

increased by 1.80%

1 Week

38.54%

increased by 5.16%

1 Month

45.59%

increased by 12.21%

Analysis last updated: Friday, October 23, 2026 at 06:54 PM UTC

Press Delete or Backspace to remove this series.
Date Range:

from

10/22/2024

to

10/22/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of APT Satellite Holdings Ltd MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 18, 1996 to Oct 16, 2026

Model Insight

This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: positive returns raise next-day volatility 99% more than negative returns. Volatility rises more after gains than after losses, the reverse of the usual leverage effect and uncommon among risky assets.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Inverse leverage: Positive returns increase volatility 99% more than negative returns
ParamValuet-stat
mwindow126
αARCH0.2254
5.97***
βGARCH0.7350
23.55***
γleverage-0.1121
-2.90***
λ₁tau intercept0.0754
0.81
λ₂forecast adj.0.0926
1.56
λ₃tau persistence0.9012
13.68***

0.904

Persistence

7d

Half-life
σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

126
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2254
5.97***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7350
23.55***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.1121
-2.90***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0754
0.81
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0926
1.56
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9012
13.68***

Persistence:

0.904

Half-life:

7 days