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Banco do Brasil SA MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, October 7th, 2026

1 Day

66.69%

increased by 6.39%

1 Week

64.07%

increased by 3.77%

1 Month

57.47%

decreased by 2.83%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, October 7, 2026 at 09:01 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/06/2024

to

10/06/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Banco do Brasil SA MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Apr 17, 1992 to Oct 2, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 10 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 10 days.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 10-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
mwindow71
αARCH0.0901
6.07***
βGARCH0.8278
42.32***
γleverage0.0302
1.68*
λ₁tau intercept0.0183
1.16
λ₂forecast adj.0.0128
2.79***
λ₃tau persistence0.9843
149.63***

0.933

Persistence

10d

Half-life
σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

71
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0901
6.07***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8278
42.32***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0302
1.68*
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0183
1.16
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0128
2.79***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9843
149.63***

Persistence:

0.933

Half-life:

10 days