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V-Lab

Banco do Brasil SA MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026

1 Day

29.76%

increased by 0.23%

1 Week

30.46%

increased by 0.93%

1 Month

32.70%

increased by 3.17%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 08:37 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Banco do Brasil SA MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Apr 17, 1992 to Jul 10, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a modest leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 33% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

71
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0914
24.18***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8256
174.96***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0299
6.16***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0181
3.87***
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0130
7.74***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9842
430.90***

Persistence:

0.932

Half-life:

10 days