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V-Lab

Banco do Brasil SA MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 5th, 2026

1 Day

27.27%

increased by 0.03%

1 Week

28.23%

increased by 0.99%

1 Month

31.05%

increased by 3.81%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 5, 2026 at 08:40 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Banco do Brasil SA MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Apr 17, 1992 to Jul 31, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a modest leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 33% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

71
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0910
24.20***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8262
175.76***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0300
6.22***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0180
3.87***
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0129
7.76***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9842
433.19***

Persistence:

0.932

Half-life:

10 days