V-Lab
Nodestream Ltd MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 5th, 2026
1 Day
152.51%
decreased by 1.53%
1 Week
149.83%
decreased by 4.21%
1 Month
151.32%
decreased by 2.72%
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 5, 2026 at 05:52 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
May 12, 2016 to Jul 31, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a modest leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 36% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 91 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1317 | 6.13*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.1928 | 5.95*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0475 | 2.36** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 10.0000 | 0.90 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.8120 | 3.10*** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
Persistence:
0.348
Half-life:
1 days
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