V-Lab
Nodestream Ltd MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 26th, 2026
1 Day
134.93%
decreased by 0.82%
1 Week
146.79%
increased by 11.04%
1 Month
153.17%
increased by 17.42%
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 26, 2026 at 07:15 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
May 12, 2016 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a modest leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 36% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 91 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1309 | 6.01*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.1895 | 5.80*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0470 | 2.34** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 10.0000 | 0.89 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.8125 | 3.06*** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
Persistence:
0.344
Half-life:
1 days
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