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V-Lab

Nodestream Ltd MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 26th, 2026

1 Day

134.93%

decreased by 0.82%

1 Week

146.79%

increased by 11.04%

1 Month

153.17%

increased by 17.42%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 26, 2026 at 07:15 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Nodestream Ltd MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

May 12, 2016 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a modest leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 36% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

91
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1309
6.01***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.1895
5.80***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0470
2.34**
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

10.0000
0.89
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.8125
3.06***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.0000
0.00

Persistence:

0.344

Half-life:

1 days