V-Lab
Nodestream Ltd GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Friday, September 11th, 2026
1 Day
140.31%
decreased by 10.49%
1 Week
136.46%
decreased by 14.34%
1 Month
127.35%
decreased by 23.45%
Analysis last updated: Friday, September 11, 2026 at 05:55 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
May 12, 2016 to Sep 4, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 7 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 7 days.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 7-day half-life
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 5.0000 | 2.90*** |
| αARCH | 0.0800 | 1.88* |
| βGARCH | 0.8103 | 19.14*** |
| γleverage | 0.0319 | 0.46 |
0.906
Persistence7d
Half-lifeσ
GJR-GARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 5.0000 | 2.90*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0800 | 1.88* |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8103 | 19.14*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0319 | 0.46 |
Persistence:
0.906
Half-life:
7 days
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