V-Lab
Nodestream Ltd GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, September 15th, 2026
1 Day
123.52%
decreased by 7.88%
1 Week
122.32%
decreased by 9.08%
1 Month
119.54%
decreased by 11.86%
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, September 16, 2026 at 02:54 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
May 12, 2016 to Sep 14, 2026Illiquid Asset
Boundary Parameters
Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 7 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 7 days.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 7-day half-life
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 5.0000 | 2.89*** |
| αARCH | 0.0789 | 1.88* |
| βGARCH | 0.8107 | 19.18*** |
| γleverage | 0.0342 | 0.49 |
0.907
Persistence7d
Half-lifeσ
GJR-GARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 5.0000 | 2.89*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0789 | 1.88* |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8107 | 19.18*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0342 | 0.49 |
Persistence:
0.907
Half-life:
7 days
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