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V-Lab

Freehold Royalties Ltd GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, July 15th, 2026

1 Day

21.62%

decreased by 0.54%

1 Week

21.87%

decreased by 0.29%

1 Month

22.81%

increased by 0.65%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, July 15, 2026 at 09:07 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Freehold Royalties Ltd GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Feb 20, 1997 to Jul 10, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.993, volatility shocks have a half-life of 106 trading days (~0.4 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 174% more than positive returns

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0339
12.20***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0336
16.69***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9306
434.06***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0584
9.64***

Persistence:

0.993

Half-life:

106 days