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Freehold Royalties Ltd GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, October 7th, 2026

1 Day

21.81%

decreased by 0.59%

1 Week

22.06%

decreased by 0.34%

1 Month

22.96%

increased by 0.56%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, October 7, 2026 at 09:22 AM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/06/2024

to

10/06/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Freehold Royalties Ltd GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Feb 20, 1997 to Oct 2, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.993, volatility shocks have a half-life of 104 trading days (~0.4 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 171% more than positive returns

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 0.993, shock half-life ~104 daysLeverage: Negative returns increase volatility 171% more than positive returns
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0338
3.07***
αARCH0.0338
4.18***
βGARCH0.9307
108.73***
γleverage0.0577
2.39**

0.993

Persistence

104d

Half-life
σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0338
3.07***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0338
4.18***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9307
108.73***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0577
2.39**

Persistence:

0.993

Half-life:

104 days