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V-Lab

Freehold Royalties Ltd GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, August 6th, 2026

1 Day

22.17%

increased by 1.05%

1 Week

22.41%

increased by 1.29%

1 Month

23.29%

increased by 2.17%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, August 6, 2026 at 09:06 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Freehold Royalties Ltd GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Feb 20, 1997 to Jul 31, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.993, volatility shocks have a half-life of 106 trading days (~0.4 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 174% more than positive returns

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0339
12.20***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0337
16.69***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9306
433.84***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0585
9.65***

Persistence:

0.993

Half-life:

106 days