Freehold Royalties Ltd GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, July 15th, 2026
1 Day
21.62%
decreased by 0.54%
1 Week
21.87%
decreased by 0.29%
1 Month
22.81%
increased by 0.65%
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, July 15, 2026 at 09:07 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Feb 20, 1997 to Jul 10, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.993, volatility shocks have a half-life of 106 trading days (~0.4 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 174% more than positive returns
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0339 | 12.20*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0336 | 16.69*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9306 | 434.06*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0584 | 9.64*** |
Persistence:
0.993
Half-life:
106 days
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