V-Lab
Freehold Royalties Ltd GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Thursday, August 6th, 2026
1 Day
22.17%
increased by 1.05%
1 Week
22.41%
increased by 1.29%
1 Month
23.29%
increased by 2.17%
Analysis last updated: Thursday, August 6, 2026 at 09:06 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Feb 20, 1997 to Jul 31, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.993, volatility shocks have a half-life of 106 trading days (~0.4 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 174% more than positive returns
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0339 | 12.20*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0337 | 16.69*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9306 | 433.84*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0585 | 9.65*** |
Persistence:
0.993
Half-life:
106 days
Other Freehold Royalties Ltd Analyses
Other GJR-GARCH Analyses on International Equities