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Freehold Royalties Ltd GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, September 16th, 2026

1 Day

18.83%

increased by 1.78%

1 Week

19.15%

increased by 2.10%

1 Month

20.33%

increased by 3.28%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, September 16, 2026 at 09:05 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Freehold Royalties Ltd GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Feb 20, 1997 to Sep 11, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.994, volatility shocks have a half-life of 107 trading days (~0.4 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 174% more than positive returns

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 0.994, shock half-life ~107 daysLeverage: Negative returns increase volatility 174% more than positive returns
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0334
3.02***
αARCH0.0336
4.18***
βGARCH0.9306
108.69***
γleverage0.0586
2.42**

0.994

Persistence

107d

Half-life
σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0334
3.02***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0336
4.18***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9306
108.69***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0586
2.42**

Persistence:

0.994

Half-life:

107 days