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Freehold Royalties Ltd GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, October 19th, 2026

1 Day

21.13%

increased by 1.88%

1 Week

21.39%

increased by 2.14%

1 Month

22.36%

increased by 3.11%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, October 17, 2026 at 09:05 AM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/16/2024

to

10/16/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Freehold Royalties Ltd GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Feb 20, 1997 to Oct 16, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.994, volatility shocks have a half-life of 125 trading days (~0.5 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

σ

GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 0.994, shock half-life ~125 days
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0317
4.02***
αARCH0.0679
7.32***
βGARCH0.9265
100.12***

0.994

Persistence

125d

Half-life
σ

GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0317
4.02***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0679
7.32***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9265
100.12***

Persistence:

0.994

Half-life:

125 days