LANXESS AG GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, October 19th, 2026
1 Day
40.48%
increased by 1.99%
1 Week
40.41%
increased by 1.92%
1 Month
40.14%
increased by 1.65%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, October 17, 2026 at 08:54 PM UTC
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News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 31, 2005 to Oct 16, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 34 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 34 days.
σ
GARCH Model
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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 34-day half-life
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.1192 | 4.19*** |
| αARCH | 0.0629 | 6.11*** |
| βGARCH | 0.9168 | 73.86*** |
0.980
Persistence34d
Half-lifeσ
GARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.1192 | 4.19*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0629 | 6.11*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9168 | 73.86*** |
Persistence:
0.980
Half-life:
34 days
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