V-Lab
LANXESS AG Asy. MEM Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Friday, September 11th, 2026
1 Day
48.96%
increased by 8.43%
1 Week
48.57%
increased by 8.04%
1 Month
47.17%
increased by 6.64%
Analysis last updated: Friday, September 11, 2026 at 07:00 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 31, 2005 to Sep 4, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 121% more than equivalent positive returns.
μ
AMEM Model
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Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 121% more than positive returns
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.0963 | 4.66*** |
| αARCH | 0.0701 | 5.99*** |
| βGARCH | 0.8692 | 88.81*** |
| γleverage | 0.0848 | 3.25*** |
0.982
Persistence38d
Half-lifeμ
AMEM Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0963 | 4.66*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0701 | 5.99*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8692 | 88.81*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0848 | 3.25*** |
Persistence:
0.982
Half-life:
38 days
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