Shimizu Corp Asy. MEM Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Thursday, July 16th, 2026
1 Day
35.78%
decreased by 0.01%
1 Week
36.08%
increased by 0.29%
1 Month
37.08%
increased by 1.29%
Analysis last updated: Thursday, July 16, 2026 at 07:17 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Nov 30, 1990 to Jul 10, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a modest leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 16% more than equivalent positive returns.
μ
AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.1587 | 27.85*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2055 | 39.85*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7557 | 239.30*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0321 | 3.66*** |
Persistence:
0.977
Half-life:
30 days
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