Shimizu Corp GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Thursday, July 16th, 2026
1 Day
37.71%
increased by 1.51%
1 Week
37.77%
increased by 1.57%
1 Month
37.94%
increased by 1.74%
Analysis last updated: Thursday, July 16, 2026 at 07:17 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 3, 1990 to Jul 10, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a notable leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 96% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.2564 | 23.60*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0862 | 16.18*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8287 | 192.41*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0826 | 8.11*** |
Persistence:
0.956
Half-life:
15 days
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