V-Lab
Shimizu Corp GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, August 25th, 2026
1 Day
33.60%
decreased by 1.16%
1 Week
34.02%
decreased by 0.74%
1 Month
35.27%
increased by 0.51%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 07:22 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 3, 1990 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a notable leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 96% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.2561 | 23.60*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0859 | 16.15*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8291 | 192.77*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0822 | 8.10*** |
Persistence:
0.956
Half-life:
15 days
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