PowerX Inc GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Thursday, July 16th, 2026
1 Day
134.01%
increased by 25.55%
1 Week
133.34%
increased by 24.88%
1 Month
131.63%
increased by 23.17%
Analysis last updated: Thursday, July 16, 2026 at 07:23 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 19, 2025 to Jul 10, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 9 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 9 days.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 5.0000 | 2.15** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1352 | 2.28** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8117 | 25.35*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0449 | -0.45 |
Persistence:
0.924
Half-life:
9 days
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