Dor Alon Energy In Israel GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026
1 Day
25.38%
decreased by 0.42%
1 Week
25.47%
decreased by 0.33%
1 Month
25.82%
increased by 0.02%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 07:09 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Sep 5, 2005 to Jul 10, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a modest leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 34% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0414 | 12.65*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0310 | 10.57*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9514 | 439.66*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0104 | 2.24** |
Persistence:
0.988
Half-life:
56 days
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