V-Lab
Dor Alon Energy In Israel GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, August 25th, 2026
1 Day
20.78%
decreased by 0.11%
1 Week
21.02%
increased by 0.13%
1 Month
21.90%
increased by 1.01%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 07:07 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Sep 5, 2005 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a modest leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 30% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0426 | 12.63*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0322 | 10.73*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9501 | 428.94*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0097 | 2.06** |
Persistence:
0.987
Half-life:
54 days
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