V-Lab
Dor Alon Energy In Israel GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Sunday, August 16th, 2026
1 Day
22.34%
decreased by 0.18%
1 Week
22.53%
increased by 0.01%
1 Month
23.22%
increased by 0.70%
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 14, 2026 at 07:16 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Sep 5, 2005 to Aug 13, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a modest leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 31% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0422 | 12.65*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0318 | 10.66*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9505 | 432.26*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0100 | 2.12** |
Persistence:
0.987
Half-life:
54 days
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