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V-Lab

Canare Electric Co Ltd GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful

Volatility prediction for Friday, August 14th, 2026

1 Day

14.24%

decreased by 0.45%

1 Week

15.24%

increased by 0.55%

1 Month

18.71%

increased by 4.02%

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 14, 2026 at 07:32 PM UTC

Date Range:

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to

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graph of Canare Electric Co Ltd GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 23, 1995 to Aug 10, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 1.000, volatility shocks have a half-life of 1386294 trading days (~5501.2 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0585
12.08***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1277
16.49***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8616
220.30***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0214
1.45

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

1386294 days