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V-Lab

REA Group Ltd GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026

1 Day

31.40%

decreased by 0.70%

1 Week

31.56%

decreased by 0.54%

1 Month

32.14%

increased by 0.04%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 05:52 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of REA Group Ltd GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 1, 1999 to Jul 10, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.994, volatility shocks have a half-life of 114 trading days (~0.5 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 51% more than positive returns

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0430
13.54***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0390
14.22***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9451
592.88***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0198
3.62***

Persistence:

0.994

Half-life:

114 days