Skip to main content
V-Lab
V-Lab

REA Group Ltd GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, October 29th, 2026

1 Day

31.62%

decreased by 0.21%

1 Week

31.76%

decreased by 0.07%

1 Month

32.30%

increased by 0.47%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 29, 2026 at 08:48 PM UTC

Press Delete or Backspace to remove this series.
Date Range:

from

10/28/2024

to

10/28/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of REA Group Ltd GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 1, 1999 to Oct 23, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.994, volatility shocks have a half-life of 117 trading days (~0.5 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 0.994, shock half-life ~117 days
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0414
3.30***
αARCH0.0369
3.53***
βGARCH0.9469
152.06***
γleverage0.0205
0.97

0.994

Persistence

117d

Half-life
σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0414
3.30***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0369
3.53***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9469
152.06***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0205
0.97

Persistence:

0.994

Half-life:

117 days