S&P / ASX 200 Volatility Index

CBOE EFA ETF Volatility Index

How volatility evolves over time

How illiquidity evolves over time

{name} Model Equation

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Spline Coefficients

Value at Risk (VaR) estimates the maximum loss at a given confidence level. Expected Shortfall (ES) estimates the average loss beyond VaR.

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Param	Value	t-stat
mwindow	21
αARCH	0.0906	4.63***
βGARCH	0.6791	16.49***
γleverage	0.0500	2.08**
λ₁tau intercept	0.0157	2.44**
λ₂forecast adj.	0.0182	5.03***
λ₃tau persistence	0.9782	223.90***

Parameter	Value	t-statistic
m window Rolling window length	21
α ARCH Response to squared shocks	0.0906	4.63***
β GARCH Volatility persistence	0.6791	16.49***
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks	0.0500	2.08**
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient	0.0157	2.44**
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity	0.0182	5.03***
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence	0.9782	223.90***

V-Lab

REA Group Ltd MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Date Range:

News Impact Curve

Volatility Forecast

Parameter Estimates

Other REA Group Ltd Analyses