REA Group Ltd MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026
1 Day
28.93%
decreased by 0.72%
1 Week
30.73%
increased by 1.08%
1 Month
32.65%
increased by 3.00%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 05:53 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 1, 1999 to Jul 10, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a notable leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 51% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 21 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0935 | 16.60*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.6777 | 49.99*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0478 | 6.39*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0158 | 1.97** |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0182 | 3.76*** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9782 | 153.32*** |
Persistence:
0.795
Half-life:
3 days
Other REA Group Ltd Analyses
Other MF2-GARCH Analyses on International Equities