V-Lab
REA Group Ltd MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, August 25th, 2026
1 Day
29.38%
decreased by 0.65%
1 Week
31.23%
increased by 1.20%
1 Month
32.92%
increased by 2.89%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 05:54 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 1, 1999 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a notable leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 53% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 21 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0923 | 16.50*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.6773 | 49.72*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0489 | 6.56*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0158 | 1.95* |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0182 | 3.72*** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9782 | 151.58*** |
Persistence:
0.794
Half-life:
3 days
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