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V-Lab

REA Group Ltd MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 5th, 2026

1 Day

34.82%

decreased by 0.34%

1 Week

35.20%

increased by 0.04%

1 Month

35.96%

increased by 0.80%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 5, 2026 at 05:54 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of REA Group Ltd MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 1, 1999 to Jul 31, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a notable leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 51% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

21
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0929
16.44***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6759
49.21***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0478
6.36***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0162
1.94*
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0186
3.70***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9777
147.83***

Persistence:

0.793

Half-life:

3 days