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V-Lab

REA Group Ltd MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, September 15th, 2026

1 Day

32.24%

increased by 0.44%

1 Week

32.74%

increased by 0.94%

1 Month

33.55%

increased by 1.75%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, September 16, 2026 at 03:11 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of REA Group Ltd MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 1, 1999 to Sep 14, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a notable leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 52% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 52% more than positive returns
ParamValuet-stat
mwindow21
αARCH0.0925
4.66***
βGARCH0.6771
16.34***
γleverage0.0483
2.00**
λ₁tau intercept0.0158
2.44**
λ₂forecast adj.0.0183
5.03***
λ₃tau persistence0.9781
222.86***

0.794

Persistence

3d

Half-life
σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

21
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0925
4.66***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6771
16.34***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0483
2.00**
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0158
2.44**
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0183
5.03***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9781
222.86***

Persistence:

0.794

Half-life:

3 days