Skip to main content
V-Lab

Esteem Co Ltd MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, August 25th, 2026

1 Day

15.65%

unchanged at 0.00%

1 Week

17.46%

increased by 1.81%

1 Month

17.94%

increased by 2.29%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 07:57 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of Esteem Co Ltd MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Mar 6, 2026 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to positive returns, rising far more after gains than after losses. This is the reverse of the usual leverage effect, rare among risky assets.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

46
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.4976
41.41***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.0088
22.90***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.4976
-41.60***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

1.2971
18.78***
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0000
0.01
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.0000
0.00

Persistence:

0.258

Half-life:

1 days