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V-Lab

Esteem Co Ltd MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 5th, 2026

1 Day

78.00%

increased by 0.20%

1 Week

1,040,202.61%

increased by 1,040,124.81%

1 Month

392,439,600,448,272,800,000,000.00%

increased by 392,439,600,448,272,800,000,000.00%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 5, 2026 at 07:55 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of Esteem Co Ltd MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Mar 6, 2026 to Jul 31, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

36
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0000
0.00
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.0907
18.89***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.5000
13.17***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0000
0.00
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.8632
8.25***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.0000
0.23

Persistence:

0.341

Half-life:

1 days