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V-Lab
V-Lab

Esteem Co Ltd MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, October 7th, 2026

1 Day

0.38%

increased by 0.34%

1 Week

328,779.34%

increased by 328,779.30%

1 Month

2,193,896,807,053,604,500,000,000,000,000.00%

increased by 2,193,896,807,053,604,500,000,000,000,000.00%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, October 7, 2026 at 08:11 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/06/2024

to

10/06/2026

6M ·

All

graph of Esteem Co Ltd MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Mar 6, 2026 to Oct 2, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Leverage: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks
ParamValuet-stat
mwindow31
αARCH0.0000
βGARCH0.0000
γleverage0.0070
6,953.00***
λ₁tau intercept0.0000
λ₂forecast adj.0.0000
λ₃tau persistence0.0000

0.003

Persistence

0d

Half-life
σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

31
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0000
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.0000
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0070
6,953.00***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0000
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0000
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.0000

Persistence:

0.003

Half-life:

0 days