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V-Lab

Esteem Co Ltd GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, October 16th, 2026

1 Day

55.54%

increased by 10.80%

1 Week

53.39%

increased by 8.65%

1 Month

47.71%

increased by 2.97%

Analysis last updated: Friday, October 16, 2026 at 08:32 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/15/2024

to

10/15/2026

6M ·

All

graph of Esteem Co Ltd GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Mar 6, 2026 to Oct 8, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 8 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 8 days.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 8-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.4663
0.29
αARCH0.0000
0.00
βGARCH0.8054
12.71***
γleverage0.2308
1.26

0.921

Persistence

8d

Half-life
σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.4663
0.29
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0000
0.00
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8054
12.71***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.2308
1.26

Persistence:

0.921

Half-life:

8 days