V-Lab
Esteem Co Ltd GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, October 7th, 2026
1 Day
24.31%
decreased by 1.34%
1 Week
24.97%
decreased by 0.68%
1 Month
26.57%
increased by 0.92%
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, October 7, 2026 at 08:11 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Mar 6, 2026 to Oct 2, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 10 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 10 days.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 10-day half-life
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.2334 | 0.14 |
| αARCH | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
| βGARCH | 0.8094 | 12.68*** |
| γleverage | 0.2407 | 1.32 |
0.930
Persistence10d
Half-lifeσ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.2334 | 0.14 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8094 | 12.68*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.2407 | 1.32 |
Persistence:
0.930
Half-life:
10 days
Other Esteem Co Ltd Analyses
Other GJR-GARCH Analyses on International Equities