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V-Lab
V-Lab

Esteem Co Ltd Asy. Power MEM Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, September 11th, 2026

1 Day

110.45%

increased by 4.33%

1 Week

106.53%

increased by 0.41%

1 Month

101.56%

decreased by 4.56%

Analysis last updated: Friday, September 11, 2026 at 08:40 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of Esteem Co Ltd APMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Mar 6, 2026 to Sep 4, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 3 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 3 days. The volatility power δ = 0.85 sits below 2, so large shocks influence volatility less than quadratically, a more outlier-robust response than standard GARCH.

μ

APMEM Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 3-day half-lifeδ = 0.85 · sub-quadratic power
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst1.0000
0.35
αARCH0.1713
1.68*
βGARCH0.6544
4.31***
γleverage0.3940
1.55
δpower0.8508
0.66

0.789

Persistence

3d

Half-life
μ

APMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.0000
0.35
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1713
1.68*
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6544
4.31***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.3940
1.55
δ

power

Transformation power

0.8508
0.66

Persistence:

0.789

Half-life:

3 days