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V-Lab

Esteem Co Ltd Asy. Power MEM Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 5th, 2026

1 Day

112.45%

decreased by 10.65%

1 Week

109.76%

decreased by 13.34%

1 Month

106.84%

decreased by 16.26%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 5, 2026 at 07:55 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of Esteem Co Ltd APMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Mar 6, 2026 to Jul 31, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 158% more than equivalent positive returns. The volatility power δ = 0.73 sits below 2, so large shocks influence volatility less than quadratically, a more outlier-robust response than standard GARCH.

μ

APMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.0000
1.16
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1228
4.60***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6567
14.13***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.5680
4.60***
δ

power

Transformation power

0.7348
1.91*

Persistence:

0.751

Half-life:

2 days