Skip to main content
V-Lab

Bella Casa Fashion & Retail Asy. Power MEM Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026

1 Day

48.89%

decreased by 1.89%

1 Week

49.65%

decreased by 1.13%

1 Month

52.11%

increased by 1.33%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 06:57 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Bella Casa Fashion & Retail APMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Oct 15, 2015 to Jul 10, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 29 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 29 days. The volatility power δ = 2.74 sits above 2, so large shocks influence volatility more than quadratically, dominating the response more than in standard GARCH.

μ

APMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.0000
5.11***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0862
17.27***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8565
114.98***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0209
-1.43
δ

power

Transformation power

2.7416
22.61***

Persistence:

0.976

Half-life:

29 days