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V-Lab

Bella Casa Fashion & Retail AGARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, September 8th, 2026

1 Day

43.10%

decreased by 3.06%

1 Week

44.73%

decreased by 1.43%

1 Month

47.53%

increased by 1.37%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, September 8, 2026 at 08:29 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Bella Casa Fashion & Retail AGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Oct 15, 2015 to Sep 4, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 5 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 5 days.

σ

AGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 5-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst1.2928
4.80***
αARCH0.1464
6.02***
βGARCH0.7186
16.89***
γleverage-0.4277
-0.71

0.865

Persistence

5d

Half-life
σ

AGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.2928
4.80***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1464
6.02***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7186
16.89***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.4277
-0.71

Persistence:

0.865

Half-life:

5 days