Skip to main content
V-Lab

Bella Casa Fashion & Retail MEM Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, September 4th, 2026

1 Day

50.56%

decreased by 0.87%

1 Week

51.03%

decreased by 0.40%

1 Month

52.60%

increased by 1.17%

Analysis last updated: Friday, September 4, 2026 at 07:15 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Bella Casa Fashion & Retail MEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Oct 15, 2015 to Aug 28, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 27 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 27 days.

μ

MEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.3513
1.04
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0953
2.50**
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8797
31.98***

Persistence:

0.975

Half-life:

27 days