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V-Lab

NCD Co Ltd/Shinagawa MEM Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 17th, 2026

1 Day

26.93%

increased by 0.16%

1 Week

28.09%

increased by 1.32%

1 Month

32.27%

increased by 5.50%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 15, 2026 at 11:26 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of NCD Co Ltd/Shinagawa MEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 7, 2000 to Aug 14, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.998, volatility shocks have a half-life of 307 trading days (~1.2 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

MEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.1336
10.45***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1253
26.97***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8725
236.77***

Persistence:

0.998

Half-life:

307 days