V-Lab
NCD Co Ltd/Shinagawa MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026
1 Day
29.61%
decreased by 2.04%
1 Week
32.06%
increased by 0.41%
1 Month
35.14%
increased by 3.49%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 22, 2026 at 11:47 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 6, 2000 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a modest leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 40% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 96 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1717 | 16.35*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.5285 | 29.08*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0685 | 4.30*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.8031 | 0.77 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.2419 | 1.16 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.6566 | 2.03** |
Persistence:
0.734
Half-life:
2 days
Other NCD Co Ltd/Shinagawa Analyses
Other MF2-GARCH Analyses on International Equities