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V-Lab

NCD Co Ltd/Shinagawa MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026

1 Day

29.61%

decreased by 2.04%

1 Week

32.06%

increased by 0.41%

1 Month

35.14%

increased by 3.49%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 22, 2026 at 11:47 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of NCD Co Ltd/Shinagawa MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 6, 2000 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a modest leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 40% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

96
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1717
16.35***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.5285
29.08***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0685
4.30***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.8031
0.77
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.2419
1.16
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.6566
2.03**

Persistence:

0.734

Half-life:

2 days