Victory Electric Vehicles International Ltd MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026
1 Day
64.99%
1 Week
54.75%
1 Month
45.59%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 07:06 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 15, 2026 to Jul 10, 2026Model Insight
This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to positive returns, rising far more after gains than after losses. This is the reverse of the usual leverage effect, rare among risky assets.
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 26 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.5000 | 355.62*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.2256 | 65.74*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.5000 | -432.15*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.2598 | 10.64*** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.6008 | 10.01*** |
Persistence:
0.476
Half-life:
1 days
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