V-Lab
Victory Electric Vehicles International Ltd MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, August 25th, 2026
1 Day
17.45%
1 Week
199.62%
1 Month
26,238,334.55%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 07:12 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 15, 2026 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: positive returns raise next-day volatility 299% more than negative returns. Volatility rises more after gains than after losses, the reverse of the usual leverage effect and uncommon among risky assets.
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 71 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.6671 | 96.10*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.4876 | 164.67*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.5000 | -35.77*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0685 | 0.38 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.0000 | 0.27 |
Persistence:
0.905
Half-life:
7 days
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