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V-Lab

Victory Electric Vehicles International Ltd MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026

1 Day

64.99%

increased by 26.96%

1 Week

54.75%

increased by 16.72%

1 Month

45.59%

increased by 7.56%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 07:06 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of Victory Electric Vehicles International Ltd MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 15, 2026 to Jul 10, 2026

Model Insight

This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to positive returns, rising far more after gains than after losses. This is the reverse of the usual leverage effect, rare among risky assets.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

26
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.5000
355.62***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.2256
65.74***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.5000
-432.15***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0000
0.00
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.2598
10.64***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.6008
10.01***

Persistence:

0.476

Half-life:

1 days