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V-Lab

Victory Electric Vehicles International Ltd APARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026

1 Day

68.79%

increased by 11.16%

1 Week

66.81%

increased by 9.18%

1 Month

65.11%

increased by 7.48%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 07:06 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of Victory Electric Vehicles International Ltd APARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 15, 2026 to Jul 10, 2026

Model Insight

This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: positive returns raise next-day volatility 295% more than negative returns. Volatility rises more after gains than after losses, the reverse of the usual leverage effect and uncommon among risky assets. The volatility power δ = 0.83 sits below 2, so large shocks influence volatility less than quadratically, a more outlier-robust response than standard GARCH.

σ

APARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.0000
1.64
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1101
2.22**
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6045
4.92***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.6776
-3.90***
δ

power

Transformation power

0.8335
2.99***

Persistence:

0.689

Half-life:

2 days