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V-Lab

Han Kook Capital Co Ltd APARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, July 30th, 2026

1 Day

35.79%

decreased by 2.34%

1 Week

36.30%

decreased by 1.83%

1 Month

38.12%

decreased by 0.01%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, July 30, 2026 at 07:48 PM UTC

Date Range:

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to

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graph of Han Kook Capital Co Ltd APARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 26, 2001 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: positive returns raise next-day volatility 24% more than negative returns. Volatility rises more after gains than after losses, the reverse of the usual leverage effect and uncommon among risky assets. The volatility power δ = 1.68 sits below 2, so large shocks influence volatility less than quadratically, a more outlier-robust response than standard GARCH.

σ

APARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.1001
13.07***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1390
16.31***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8610
136.39***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0637
-3.30***
δ

power

Transformation power

1.6850
19.20***

Persistence:

0.987

Half-life:

52 days